What a way to renew a rivalry! A spot in the SEC Championship Game is on the line when No. 3 Texas Longhorns face the No. 20 Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field on Saturday night in College Station, with the ESPN Gameday crew on hand.
The Longhorns and Aggies have not met since 2011. The Lone Star Showdown had been played annually from 1915 until 2011, when Texas A&M left the Big 12 to join the SEC for the 2012-13 season. This is Texas’ first year in the conference.
UT, the only one-loss team in the SEC, beat visiting Kentucky 31-14 last Saturday for its fourth straight victory since dropping a home game vs. the Georgia Bulldogs, the team that awaits this week’s winner. No. 7 Georgia is -145 to win the conference, while Texas is +175.
Meanwhile, A&M (+800 to win the SEC) is coming off a wild 43-41 four-OT loss at Auburn.
Texas (+450 to win the national championship) leads the all-time series with Texas A&M (+20000) 76-37-5.
Saturday’s game kicks off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+.
Odds current as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET
Texas A&M head coach Mike Elko had a slip of the tongue revealing that Texas is indeed on the Aggies’ minds, accidentally showing that the coaching staff has likely been preparing for this matchup for some time.
The Aggies, and the 12th Man, are prepped.
A&M’s offense has been firing on all cylinders. Against Auburn last Saturday, the Aggies amassed a whopping 464 yards of total offense, making it the fifth game this season they’ve surpassed the 450-yard mark. Most impressive is their red zone efficiency. The Aggies were flawless against the Tigers, converting all five of their red zone opportunities into points, with four resulting in touchdowns. This finishing prowess could prove decisive as the 6-point underdogs to Texas this week.
Plus, the Aggies have shown they can weather storms and strike back with vengeance. After falling behind 21-0 to Auburn, A&M rallied with three unanswered touchdowns, including a spectacular 73-yard TD pass to Noah Thomas in the third quarter to tie the game. Such big-play capability could be the X-factor against a Texas team that has faced a relatively easy schedule of passing offenses.
On the other side of the ball, A&M’s defense has been nothing short of stellar, particularly in crucial moments. Their performance against LSU’s high-powered offense at the end of October was a lesson in second-half adjustments and clutch plays. And their third-down defense has been especially suffocating, allowing a 33% conversion this season, 15th-best in the nation. This could spell trouble for a Texas offense that struggled on third downs against Georgia, converting just two of 15 attempts.
The Longhorns last stepped foot into College Station in 2011. Now, I’m not one to quantify home-field advantage, but the immense edge A&M enjoys at Kyle Field — the deafening roar of over 100,000 fans — could rattle a Texas team that has shown vulnerability to tougher competition, leading to mental errors from quarterback Quinn Ewers, who is dealing with an ankle injury following the Week 13 win over Kentucky.
After two losses in three games, belief in the Aggies has dissipated. The stage is set for an upset (+195), which could send shockwaves through the college football world with a statement win over their longtime rivals.
